Whitney Tilson’s e-mail to buyers discussing how Amazon wove itself into the lifetime of an American metropolis; hundreds protest Amazon; PayPal’s rip-off, charging prospects an pointless 2.9% payment; The seven methods getting wealthy will increase your odds of divorce.

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1) As I took the practice to Baltimore this morning (I spend a day or two right here every week at our company companion Stansberry Analysis’s headquarters), I learn this in-depth article – which makes use of this metropolis as a case examine – about “how Amazon (AMZN) may now reach into Americans’ daily existence in more ways than any corporation in history.” It’s kind of scary – however makes me much more bullish on the inventory… Prime Mover: How Amazon Wove Itself Into the Lifetime of an American Metropolis. Excerpt:
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As federal regulators and Congress assess whether or not Amazon’s market energy needs to be curbed below antitrust legal guidelines – and whether or not, as some politicians argue, the corporate needs to be damaged up – the New York Instances has explored the corporate’s affect in a single American neighborhood: larger Baltimore.
2) As Amazon turns into increasingly more dominant, anticipate to see extra protests like these… particularly in Europe, the place organized labor is stronger: “We Are Not Robots”: 1000’s Protest Amazon As Staff Stage Black Friday Walkout. Excerpt:
1000’s of Amazon employees throughout Europe have walked out as a part of a coordinated Black Friday strike towards working circumstances on the world’s largest on-line retailer.
three) After I used digital funds large PayPal (PYPL) yesterday to ship a big sum of cash to a buddy, I encountered extremely misleading practices that I feel are a complete rip-off and might be grounds for an enormous class-action lawsuit.
I do not suppose that this, by itself, is adequate grounds to brief the inventory of this quickly rising firm… however I would need to look into it if I had been a shareholder, particularly given the inventory’s nosebleed valuation (7.2 occasions income, 37.7 occasions EBITDA, and 50.7 occasions trailing earnings).
As background, PayPal is a helpful and free method to ship cash to (or request cash from) a buddy. As well as, you should utilize it to pay for items and companies from a service provider or somebody on, say, eBay (EBAY), however on this case, the recipient pays a 2.9% payment plus $zero.30.
Honest sufficient.
However what if PayPal dupes individuals into paying the two.9% payment when two buddies are simply transferring cash to one another? That is what occurred to me…
I’ve used PayPal for years, however as a result of I used to be sending my buddy many hundreds of , I double-checked to ensure there would not be a payment. No downside – PayPal’s web site confirmed that: “There are no fees within the U.S. to send money to family and friends when you use only your PayPal balance or bank account, or a combination of your PayPal balance and bank account.”
So I went forward and initiated the switch. After I entered my buddy’s e-mail handle and the quantity, this display screen popped up:

I used to be confused for a second – I did not need Buy Safety – however with out giving it a lot thought, I figured that the plain factor to do was to click on the default, highlighted “Continue” button.
After I did, a remaining affirmation web page appeared that regarded like this (this screenshot solely exhibits a $1 switch):

So I clicked “Send Payment Now” and thought I used to be completed…
However moments later, my buddy referred to as me in a panic – he’d been charged 2.9%, equal to greater than $200!
I used to be confused as a result of I would just obtained an e-mail stating clearly:
You paid [$X]
[My friend’s name] will obtain [$X]
So I went again to PayPal’s web site and entered a brand new $1 switch to see what I would completed incorrect.
Apparently, as a substitute of clicking “Continue” on the primary affirmation web page, I ought to have clicked “Send to someone you trust.” However this was unclear and there was no disclosure that a payment can be charged if I clicked “Continue.” Deception No. 1.
Then on the ultimate affirmation web page, I found this, which I hadn’t seen the primary time:

I’ve three issues with this: a) It wasn’t seen on my display screen after I went to click on the “Send Payment Now” button – I needed to scroll as much as the highest to see it… b) Solely within the high quality print does it say “Paying for an item or service”… and c) There isn’t any disclosure wherever on the web page that PayPal goes to cost a payment on this transaction. Deception No. 2.
Lastly, the e-mail I obtained was a flat-out lie. It mentioned that my buddy would obtain the total quantity that I despatched him, when in actual fact PayPal had deducted greater than $200! Deception No. three.
None of that is by chance… Each subtle firm fastidiously designs and exams each ingredient of their web site and buy/cost course of, so I am sure that it is a fastidiously orchestrated plan – what I name a rip-off – to extend the variety of individuals paying charges unnecessarily.
PayPal is big, so if the misleading and deceptive course of that fooled me – regardless of a acutely aware effort on my half – leads to even a small incremental share of its prospects paying charges they should not, the corporate might be harvesting massive cash.
This is some back-of-the envelope math: in its third-quarter earnings launch, PayPal boasted that person-to-person (“P2P”) quantity grew 39% to $51 billion – representing 28% of its $179 billion whole cost quantity, or $50 billion. Annualized, that is $200 billion of P2P funds just like the one I made yesterday to my buddy.
If this rip-off leads to 10% of its prospects – to select a quantity out of the air – paying a payment they should not, that is $20 billion of quantity being charged an pointless 2.9% payment. That is $580 million of pure extra revenue for PayPal, equal to 22% of the corporate’s trailing 12-month working revenue of $2.6 billion.
Disgrace, disgrace!
Any class-action attorneys on the market searching for an easy-to-win, big-dollar lawsuit towards a deep-pocketed firm?
(I refused to be scammed over the two.9% payment, so I referred to as PayPal’s customer support line and browse them the riot act. They mentioned they could not waive the payment, so my buddy has to reject the transaction as soon as it clears – they instructed us often inside 24 hours – after which I’ve to resend it.)
four) Over the Thanksgiving break, after two years of on-and-off effort, I lastly completed the primary draft of one of many two books I am engaged on, tentatively entitled, All I Need to Know Is The place I am Going to Die: The 5 Calamities That Can Destroy Your Life – And Keep away from Them. It is nonetheless fairly a methods from being completed, however it’s an incredible feeling to have reached this milestone!
Close to the tip of the chapter on calamity No. 2, “A Bad Marriage, Often Ending in Divorce,” I write:
Most individuals suppose that having some huge cash is nice for a wedding. As much as a sure level, that is true – monetary pressures can undoubtedly put pressure on a wedding.
However, paradoxically, making a ton of cash can truly improve the chances of divorce for the next seven causes (I’ve seen all of them up shut).
On this e-mail and the following six, I will undergo every of them.
Cause No. 1 is that divorce is loopy costly (each the short-term price for attorneys, in addition to the long-term larger bills as a result of two houses, much less favorable tax therapy, and so forth.), so having some huge cash reduces this barrier.
I do know one man whose spouse out of the blue inherited an enormous sum of money – and instructed him she was divorcing him that very day. My spouse and I joke (no less than I hope she’s joking!) that, even when we wished to, we could not afford to get divorced. Though it isn’t technically true, I am glad she thinks it’s – LOL!
Greatest regards,
Whitney
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